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Smoking and Cancer Mortality Table

The following tables summarize the impact of smoking as acause of death from cancer. For each of these cancer types, the tables provide several statistics. These estimates are based on results of the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS II). CPS II used survey results from about 1,200,000 volunteers to find out more about what factors can cause cancer or help prevent it. Statistics from CPS II are used in the United States Surgeon General's Report on the Health Consequences of Smoking and in other government reports.

The tables describe only the effects of tobacco use on deaths from cancer. They do not include deaths from other tobacco-related causes such as heart and lung diseases, though there are many deaths caused by those illnesses. The data are taken from the years 2000 to 2004, the most recent years that this detailed information was published.

Defining the terms

For this summary, current smoker means someone who has smoked at least 100 cigarettes over his or her lifetime and now smokes every day or some days.

Former smoker or ex-smoker means someone who has smoked more than 100 cigarettes over his or her lifetime but does not now smoke every day or some days.

The relative risk (RR) is the risk of death from cancer among current or former smokers when compared with the risk for non-smokers. For example, say that the risk of death from a type of cancer among non-smokers, ex-smokers, and current smokers was 5, 10, and 20 deaths per 100,000 people per year, respectively. The relative risk for ex-smokers would be 10 divided by 5, equaling 2. Since 5 non-smokers die from this cancer every year, the fact that 10 ex-smokers die means that ex-smokers have twice the risk of non-smokers. The RR for current smokers would be 20 divided by 5, equaling 4. Current smokers, then, would be 4 times more likely to die from this cancer than those who never smoked, so we say their relative risk is 4.

The effect of smoking on each type of cancer is different. For example, smoking greatly increases the risk of getting cancers of the lungs and larynx (voice box), and of dying from these cancers. It has a smaller effect on cancer of the cervix.

The annual deaths column estimates the number of deaths each year from each cancer type in the United States.

Smoking attributable mortality (SAM) is the number of deaths caused by smoking each year from each cancer type in the United States.

Population attributable risk (PAR) describes the percentage of deaths from each type of cancer that are due to smoking. For example, about 90,000 men die of lung cancer each year in the U.S. About 78,700 lung cancer deaths among men are caused by smoking. This means that the smoking causes about 87% of lung cancer deaths among men (100 times 78,700 divided by 90,000).

Years of potential life lost (YPLL) estimates how much a smoking-related cancer shortened the lives of people who died of these diseases each year. As a simple example, if the average life expectancy were 85 years and 1,000 people died of a smoking-related cancer at age 70, that would mean 15,000 (15 times 1,000) years of life were lost. You can see that the years of potential life lost depend both on the number of people dying from a type of cancer and the average number of years each of them loses.

Men

Cancer Type RR for current smokers RR for former smokers Annual deaths* SAM* PAR (%) YPLL*
Lip, oral cavity, pharynx 10.9 3.4 5,100 3,700 73 65,300
Esophagus 6.8 4.5 9,700 7,000 72 108,800
Stomach 2.0 1.5 7,100 1,900 27 27,600
Pancreas 2.3 1.2 14,800 3,100 21 50,200
Layrnx (voice box) 14.6 6.3 3,000 2,400 82 38,000
Lung 23.3 8.7 90,000 78,700 87 1,118,400
Urinary Bladder 3.3 2.1 8,500 3,900 46 44,200
Kidney, other urinary 2.7 1.7 7,500 2,800 38 43,900
Acute myeloid leukemia 1.9 1.3 3,900 900 22 12,500
TOTAL - - 149,600 104,500 - 1,508,900

*Rounded to the nearest hundred

Women

Cancer Type RR for current smokers RR for former smokers Annual deaths* SAM* PAR (%) YPLL*
Lip, oral cavity, pharynx 5.1 2.3 2,500 1,100 46 19,000
Esophagus 7.8 2.8 2,900 1,600 56 25,400
Stomach 1.4 1.3 5,000 600 12 9,000
Pancreas 2.3 1.6 15,500 3,500 23 53,300
Layrnx (voice box) 13.0 5.2 800 600 72 9,900
Lung 12.7 4.5 66,900 46,800 70 770,700
Cervix uteri 1.6 1.1 3,800 400 12 11,900
Urinary Bladder 2.2 1.9 4,000 1,100 27 13,200
Kidney, other urinary 1.3 1.1 4,500 200 5 3,700
Acute myeloid leukemia 1.1 1.4 3,200 300 11 5,500
TOTAL - - 109,000 56,400 - 921,700

*Rounded to the nearest hundred

The difference in the numbers for men and women is caused by several factors, including the average number of cigarettes smoked, how deeply each sex inhales, the age at which they started smoking, and, for former smokers, the age at which they quit.

References

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Smoking-attributable mortality, years of potential life lost, and productivity losses, United States, 2000--2004. Morb Mort Wkly Rep. 2008;57(45):1226-1228. Accessed at: www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5745a3.htm on September 16, 2009.

Office of the US Surgeon General. The Health Consequences of Smoking: A Report of the Surgeon General. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Office on Smoking and Health. 2004. Accessed at: www.surgeongeneral.gov/library/smokingconsequences/ on September 16, 2009.

Last Medical Review: 09/18/2009
Last Revised: 09/18/2009

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