Lifetime Risk of Developing or Dying From Cancer
The lifetime risk of developing or dying from cancer refers to the chance a person has, over the course of their lifetime (from birth to death), of being diagnosed with or dying from cancer. These risk estimates are one way to measure of how widespread cancer is in the United States.
The following tables list lifetime risks of developing and dying from certain cancers for men and women in the US. The information is from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, and is based on incidence and mortality data for the United States from 2016 through 2018, the most recent years for which data are available.
The risk is expressed both in terms of a percentage and as odds.
- For example, the risk that a man will develop cancer of the pancreas during his lifetime is 1.7%. This means he has about 1 chance in 59 of developing pancreatic cancer (100/1.7 = 59).
- Put another way, 1 out of every 59 men in the United States will develop pancreatic cancer during his lifetime.
These numbers are average risks for the overall US population. Your risk may be higher or lower than these numbers, depending on your particular risk factors.
Males
| Risk of developing |
Risk of dying from |
|||
| % |
1 in |
% |
1 in |
|
| All invasive sites |
40.2 |
2 |
20.5 |
5 |
| Bladder (includes in situ) |
3.8 |
26 |
0.9 |
109 |
| Brain and nervous system |
0.7 |
143 |
0.5 |
188 |
| Breast |
0.1 |
727 |
<0.1 |
3,260 |
| Colon and rectum |
4.2 |
24 |
1.8 |
57 |
| Esophagus |
0.8 |
126 |
0.7 |
137 |
| Hodgkin lymphoma |
0.2 |
434 |
<0.1 |
2,792 |
| Kidney and renal pelvis |
2.2 |
46 |
0.6 |
175 |
| Larynx (voice box) |
0.5 |
200 |
0.2 |
561 |
| Leukemia |
1.9 |
54 |
0.9 |
107 |
| Liver and bile duct |
1.5 |
69 |
1 |
97 |
| Lung and bronchus |
6.4 |
16 |
5 |
20 |
| Melanoma of the skin |
3.7 |
27 |
0.4 |
235 |
| Multiple myeloma |
1.0 |
105 |
0.5 |
218 |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma |
2.4 |
42 |
0.8 |
126 |
| Oral cavity and pharynx |
1.7 |
60 |
0.4 |
239 |
| Pancreas |
1.7 |
59 |
1.4 |
71 |
| Prostate |
12.5 |
8 |
2.4 |
41 |
| Stomach |
1.0 |
98 |
0.4 |
239 |
| Testicles |
0.4 |
244 |
<0.1 |
4,982 |
| Thyroid |
0.7 |
149 |
0.1 |
1,699 |
Females
| Risk of developing |
Risk of dying from |
||||
| % |
1 in |
% |
1 in |
||
| All invasive sites |
38.5 |
3 |
17.9 |
6 |
|
| Bladder (includes in situ) |
1.2 |
86 |
0.3 |
292 |
|
| Brain and nervous system |
0.5 |
186 |
0.4 |
239 |
|
| Breast |
12.9 |
8 |
2.5 |
39 |
|
| Cervix |
0.6 |
159 |
0.2 |
461 |
|
| Colon and rectum |
4.0 |
25 |
1.6 |
62 |
|
| Esophagus |
0.2 |
433 |
0.2 |
513 |
|
| Hodgkin lymphoma |
0.2 |
517 |
0 |
3,683 |
|
| Kidney and renal pelvis |
1.3 |
79 |
0.3 |
311 |
|
| Larynx (voice box) |
0.1 |
835 |
0 |
2,239 |
|
| Leukemia |
1.3 |
77 |
0.7 |
150 |
|
| Liver and bile duct |
0.6 |
157 |
0.5 |
182 |
|
| Lung and bronchus |
6.0 |
17 |
4.2 |
24 |
|
| Melanoma of the skin |
2.5 |
40 |
0.2 |
463 |
|
| Multiple myeloma |
0.7 |
138 |
0.4 |
272 |
|
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma |
1.9 |
52 |
0.6 |
164 |
|
| Oral cavity and pharynx |
0.7 |
140 |
0.2 |
536 |
|
| Ovary |
1.2 |
85 |
0.8 |
119 |
|
| Pancreas |
1.6 |
61 |
1.4 |
73 |
|
| Stomach |
0.7 |
152 |
0.3 |
351 |
|
| Thyroid |
1.8 |
55 |
0.1 |
1,413 |
|
| Uterus |
3.1 |
32 |
0.7 |
154 |
|
Lifetime Risk of Developing and Dying from Cancer, 2016-2018. https://www.cancer.org/content/dam/cancer-org/research/cancer-facts-and-statistics/annual-cancer-facts-and-figures/2022/2022-lifetime-probability-2016-2018.pdf. 2022. Accessed May 11, 2022.
Last Revised: May 12, 2022
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